Geopolitics6 days left

Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?

YES Price
12Ā¢
12% implied
NO Price
88Ā¢
88% implied
Volume
$1.4K
101 trades
Smart Whales
3
of 34 traders

Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs2 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars Ā· 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 87%Ā· net of hedges
+11 new YES$56+8 new NO$207
$58 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure Ā· invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $36 is directional: YES $0Ā·NO $36

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 33% YES: fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab…