Geopolitics6 days left
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?
YES Price
24¢
24% implied
NO Price
76¢
76% implied
Volume
$540
76 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 46 traders
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 12?
5 MARKETS · $4.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18←
24¢−24¢$5400/1Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18←−24¢24¢
$5400/1
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18
23¢+44¢$5352/1Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18+44¢23¢
$5352/1
Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18
23¢−23¢$1050/2Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18−23¢23¢
$1050/2
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Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs10 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 40% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 93%· net of hedges
+21 new YES$33+27 new NO$200
$37 of this was bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales9 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $5 is directional: YES $2·NO $3YES Team
Total Invested
$10
Avg Win Rate
58.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$4(-43.0%)
Whales
4
6
0x6f566381...🥇
Entry 50¢·8.3 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $4 · WR 62.5%
8
0x892ae792...🥈
Entry 50¢·8 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $4 · WR 55.2%
3
0x39ee260f...🥉
Entry 23¢·4.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 55.9%
2
0x2e299d46...
Entry 23¢·4.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 61.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$44
Avg Win Rate
80.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$1(+3.1%)
Whales
10
Q
quietparcel🥇
Entry 78¢·40 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $31 · WR 88.7%
D
0xd96fac18...🥈
Entry 77¢·2.6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
61.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 61.6%
9
0x98bd31da...🥉
Entry 77¢·2.6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 60.9%
F
0xf9cf9d55...
Entry 77¢·2.6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 61.2%
0
0x0be125f6...
Entry 50¢·2.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 63.0%
1
0x151fb0fa...
Entry 50¢·2.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 60.4%
6
0x6eeba84f...
Entry 50¢·2.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 57.7%
7
0x7949087c...
Entry 78¢·1.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 60.2%
0
0x01896a6d...
Entry 78¢·1.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 59.7%
1
0x171c55df...
Entry 78¢·1.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 58.8%
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