Polymarket wallet 0x98bd…4d09

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x98bd…4d09 has made 196 trades on Polymarket across 107 markets, $325 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (12%) and economics (11%). On 92 resolved markets the win rate is 60.9%, lifetime P&L +$14. It holds 10 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?No · $1 · 70¢ → 100¢
• Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 12 2026?No · $1 · 56¢ → 74¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?No · $1 · 68¢ → 86¢
• Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?Yes · $1 · 31¢ → 37¢
• Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?No · $1 · 64¢ → 66¢
• Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?Yes · $1 · 33¢ → 34¢
• Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 66% to 67%?No · $1 · 74¢ → 73¢
• Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?No · $1 · 26¢ → 25¢
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?No · $1 · 37¢ → 36¢
• Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B?Yes · $1 · 72¢ → 69¢

Latest closed positions

• Will OpenRouter process between 165T and 175T tokens the week of October 5?No · -$1 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $58 Week of October 5 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?No · -$1 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?

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