Politics23 days left
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?
YES Price
7¢
7% implied
NO Price
93¢
93% implied
Volume
$34.4K
275 trades
Smart Whales
33
of 69 traders
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
3 MARKETS · $105.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate
10¢+12¢$47.8K7/25Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate+12¢10¢
$47.8K7/25
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs24 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 14% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 93%· net of hedges
+37 new YES$2.9K+57 new NO$31.2K
$1.6K of this was bought on both sides by the same 23 buyers — left out of momentum
10 smart whales27 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $6.4K is directional: YES $894·NO $5.5KYES Team
Total Invested
$923
Avg Win Rate
72.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$127(-13.7%)
Whales
9
M
MisTKy🥇
Entry 8¢·8,777.3 shares
Invested
$694
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
$-54
$-54INV $694 · WR 71.3%
R
rainbowlilies🥈
Entry 25¢·515.4 shares
Invested
$129
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
$-91
$-91INV $129 · WR 84.8%
S
ScottyNooo🥉
Entry 6¢·750 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $45 · WR 56.0%
E
efren83
Entry 8¢·151 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $11 · WR 64.3%
S
Shy-Note◆Proven
Entry 5¢·211.2 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $11 · WR 56.8%
B
badatthis
Entry 6¢·59.7 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
64.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 64.0%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat
Entry 33¢·1 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 59.8%
L
lpgb
Entry 0¢·51 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
75.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $0 · WR 75.7%
Showing top 8 of 9
NO Team
Total Invested
$16.6K
Avg Win Rate
73.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.2K(+13.4%)
Whales
24
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 75¢·6,082.8 shares
Invested
$4.6K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$1088
+$1088INV $4.6K · WR 85.9%
M
Monumental-Injustice🥈
Entry 92¢·2,979.6 shares
Invested
$2.7K
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $2.7K · WR 69.2%
M
melchior1248🥉
Entry 80¢·2,969.6 shares
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$381
+$381INV $2.4K · WR 69.2%
C
classified◆Proven
Entry 92¢·1,650.9 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $1.5K · WR 82.7%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique
Entry 66¢·1,415.7 shares
Invested
$928
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$387
+$387INV $928 · WR 59.8%
D
DerDon◆Proven
Entry 92¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$923
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $923 · WR 56.5%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 94¢·680 shares
Invested
$638
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $638 · WR 59.6%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 93¢·400 shares
Invested
$372
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $372 · WR 84.5%
B
balthazar
Entry 91¢·400 shares
Invested
$364
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $364 · WR 72.2%
P
Pricey-Million
Entry 58¢·508.1 shares
Invested
$297
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$175
+$175INV $297 · WR 59.8%
Showing top 10 of 24
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