Politics22 days left
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?
YES Price
10¢
10% implied
NO Price
90¢
90% implied
Volume
$48.1K
344 trades
Smart Whales
33
of 85 traders · 1 on both sides
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
3 MARKETS · $118.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate←
10¢+12¢$48.1K7/25Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate←+12¢10¢
$48.1K7/25
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs25 NO
27%74%
74% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 30% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 5 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%· net of hedges
+19 new YES$604+8 new NO$1.8K
$819 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $3.7K is held equally on both sides by 1 wallet — not a bet on the outcome. True directional: YES $1.1K·NO $2.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.3K
Avg Win Rate
70.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$37(-2.9%)
Whales
9
M
MisTKy🥇
Entry 10¢·10,597.4 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
$-57
$-57INV $1.1K · WR 71.3%
W
whig◆Proven🥈
Entry 8¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $80 · WR 63.1%
A
Anon07🥉
Entry 10¢·450 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
74.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $45 · WR 74.4%
S
Shy-Note◆Proven
Entry 8¢·211.2 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $18 · WR 56.8%
S
ScottyNooo
Entry 8¢·100 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $8 · WR 56.0%
S
SquirrelTheMerchant
Entry 8¢·54.8 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 64.9%
5
0x54498e4c...
Entry 10¢·9.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 55.4%
7
77bCcPrd2uGwboth sides
Entry 50¢·1.1 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
62.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 62.9%
O
OffRoadTraveler
Entry 11¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 63.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$10.5K
Avg Win Rate
77.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.6K(+15.0%)
Whales
25
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 90¢·3,633.3 shares
Invested
$3.3K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $3.3K · WR 85.9%
C
classified◆Proven🥈
Entry 90¢·2,244 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $2.0K · WR 82.7%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 89¢·1,484.8 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $1.3K · WR 72.2%
C
Car
Entry 90¢·634.6 shares
Invested
$571
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $571 · WR 64.9%
L
lpgb
Entry 50¢·1,036 shares
Invested
$518
Win Rate
75.7%
Position P&L
+$418
+$418INV $518 · WR 75.7%
M
melchior1248
Entry 50¢·800 shares
Invested
$400
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$323
+$323INV $400 · WR 69.2%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 90¢·300 shares
Invested
$270
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $270 · WR 84.5%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 90¢·262.9 shares
Invested
$237
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $237 · WR 59.6%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 91¢·260.9 shares
Invested
$236
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $236 · WR 59.6%
D
0xd32ce89f...◆Proven
Entry 91¢·200 shares
Invested
$182
Win Rate
83.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $182 · WR 83.5%
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