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Politics18 days left

Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$35.3K
221 trades
Smart Whales
36
of 96 traders

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

4 MARKETS · $95.8K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

12 YESvs24 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 73%· net of hedges
+24 new YES$505+39 new NO$1.2K
$133 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
9 smart whales12 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.7K is directional: YES $57·NO $2.6K
YES Team
Total Invested
$721
Avg Win Rate
68.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$611(-84.8%)
Whales
12
A
AlphaGooo🥇
Entry 96¢·390 shares
$-363INV $373 · WR 61.0%
M
Martin66🥈hedged
Entry 96¢·200 shares·also $8 on NO
$-186INV $192 · WR 90.1%
5
0x54498e4c...🥉
Entry 96¢·53 shares
$-49INV $51 · WR 55.4%
L
Lolakis
Entry 3¢·1,420.4 shares
$-4INV $41 · WR 61.7%
T
trashtier
Entry 3¢·1,174.3 shares
$-5INV $39 · WR 63.2%
P
PaddyAlpha
Entry 3¢·205 shares
+$0INV $7 · WR 68.2%
S
ScottyNooo
Entry 3¢·200 shares
$-0INV $6 · WR 55.9%
K
kitty07
Entry 5¢·100 shares
$-2INV $5 · WR 72.0%
V
v54t1
Entry 3¢·78.8 shares
$-0INV $3 · WR 61.5%
H
Harmonious-Quiet
Entry 3¢·69.7 shares
$-0INV $2 · WR 75.0%
Showing top 10 of 12

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 37% YES: there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below…