Politics18 days left
Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$27.3K
255 trades
Smart Whales
35
of 119 traders
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?
4 MARKETS · $140.0K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs28 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 9% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 70%· net of hedges
+22 new YES$242+57 new NO$530
$53 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales21 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.7K is directional: YES $141·NO $1.5KYES Team
Total Invested
$169
Avg Win Rate
69.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$84(-49.7%)
Whales
7
R
rainbowlilies🥇
Entry 14¢·500 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
84.7%
Position P&L
$-51
$-51INV $68 · WR 84.7%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥈
Entry 4¢·1,062.4 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $44 · WR 57.6%
5
0x54498e4c...🥉
Entry 50¢·46.8 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $23 · WR 55.4%
S
ScottyNooo
Entry 4¢·400 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $17 · WR 56.0%
P
PaddyAlpha
Entry 4¢·205 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $8 · WR 68.1%
K
kitty07
Entry 4¢·104 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 72.0%
B
balthazar
Entry 3¢·126.2 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 72.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.0K
Avg Win Rate
70.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.5K(+76.3%)
Whales
28
1
1walrus🥇
Entry 95¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$952
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $952 · WR 65.2%
D
Dragontree◆Proven🥈
Entry 95¢·500 shares
Invested
$476
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $476 · WR 67.5%
V
v2boring🥉
Entry 89¢·290 shares
Invested
$258
Win Rate
100.0%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $258 · WR 100.0%
T
title1◆Proven
Entry 96¢·100 shares
Invested
$96
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $96 · WR 55.3%
2
20260601
Entry 6¢·1,371 shares
Invested
$76
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
+$1248
+$1248INV $76 · WR 63.3%
E
EconProf
Entry 74¢·82.6 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $61 · WR 85.9%
C
cwrecfse
Entry 50¢·24.2 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
82.8%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $12 · WR 82.8%
V
vvbh
Entry 50¢·20.7 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 66.7%
U
Unwieldy-Webmail
Entry 50¢·19.4 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
64.0%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 64.0%
U
UbuntuTrading
Entry 4¢·200 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
+$186
+$186INV $7 · WR 66.5%
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