2 days left

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on November 15?

YES Price
20¢
20% implied
NO Price
80¢
80% implied
Volume
$1.9K
82 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 35 traders

Highest temperature in San Francisco on November 15?

11 MARKETS · $6.1K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs7 NO
Price 20¢
YES 13%NO 88%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 20¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 3% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 82%· net of hedges
+11 new YES+30 new NO · 7 smart whales
$125 bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ3 of 3 on NO
YES 0NO 3one dot = one wallet
0 wallets on YES

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 9h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $88 is directional: YES $3·NO $85

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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