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Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on November 15?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
52¢
52% implied
NO Price
48¢
48% implied
Volume
$2.9K
103 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 73 traders

Highest temperature in NYC on November 15?

11 MARKETS · $7.7K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

6 YESvs8 NO
Price 52¢
YES 43%NO 57%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 52¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 50%· net of hedges
+49 new YES · 5 smart whales+32 new NO · 8 smart whales
$623 bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ5 of 6 on YES
YES 5NO 1one dot = one wallet
5 wallets on YES
1 wallet on NO

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 11h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $547 is directional: YES $545·NO $2
YES Team
Total Invested
$545
Avg Win Rate
64.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$57(+10.4%)
Whales
6
E
0xeb1b3ef2...🥇
Entry 51¢·551.1 shares
+$8INV $279 · WR 55.2%
S
sbel🥈
Entry 49¢·478.8 shares
+$17INV $232 · WR 75.5%
T
TakeYourTemperature🥉
Entry 56¢·22.7 shares
$-1INV $13 · WR 68.6%
H
HWReborn
Entry 56¢·20.4 shares
$-1INV $11 · WR 55.7%
N
newbie147
Entry 9¢·78 shares
+$33INV $7 · WR 70.9%
M
megaproton
Entry 46¢·5.2 shares
+$0INV $2 · WR 91.5%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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