2 days left

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on November 15?

YES Price
42¢
42% implied
NO Price
58¢
58% implied
Volume
$1.7K
73 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 50 traders

Highest temperature in NYC on November 15?

11 MARKETS · $7.7K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs13 NO
Smart Money wallets on YEStheir dollars on YESYES price
87% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 15% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
In-form wallets ⓘ3 of 3 on NO
YES 0NO 3one dot = one wallet
0 wallets on YES

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 11h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 68%· net of hedges
+14 new YES · 2 smart whales+43 new NO · 13 smart whales
$183 bought on both sides by the same 9 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $214 is directional: YES $31·NO $183

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 13% YES: the highest temperature in New York…