2 days left
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on November 15?
YES Price
42¢
42% implied
NO Price
58¢
58% implied
Volume
$1.7K
73 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 50 traders
Highest temperature in NYC on November 15?
11 MARKETS · $7.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 39°F or below on November 15
0¢—$300/0Will the highest temperature in New York City be 39°F or below on November 15—0¢
$300/0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 58°F or higher on November 15
0¢—$950/0Will the highest temperature in New York City be 58°F or higher on November 15—0¢
$950/0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on November 15
0¢—$300/0Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on November 15—0¢
$300/0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on November 15
1¢—$2280/0Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on November 15—1¢
$2280/0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on November 15
0¢—$5840/0Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on November 15—0¢
$5840/0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on November 15
2¢—$4510/0Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on November 15—2¢
$4510/0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on November 15←
42¢—$1.7K0/0Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on November 15←—42¢
$1.7K0/0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on November 15
52¢—$2.9K0/0Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on November 15—52¢
$2.9K0/0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on November 15
7¢—$1.2K0/0Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on November 15—7¢
$1.2K0/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs13 NO
Price 42¢
YES 13%NO 87%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 42¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 15% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 68%· net of hedges
$614
$1.2K
+14 new YES · 2 smart whales+43 new NO · 13 smart whales
$183 bought on both sides by the same 9 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ3 of 3 on NO
YES 0NO 3one dot = one wallet
0 wallets on YES
3 wallets on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 11h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $214 is directional: YES $31·NO $183YES Team
Total Invested
$31
Avg Win Rate
59.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$25(+79.3%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$293
Avg Win Rate
68.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$34(-11.6%)
Whales
13
T
twobonclay🥇
Entry 72¢·108.9 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $78 · WR 59.2%
H
HWReborn🥈
Entry 70¢·65 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $45 · WR 55.7%
G
glory2hezbollah🥉
Entry 68¢·51.8 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $35 · WR 71.7%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 70¢·40 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $28 · WR 79.6%
K
kaxel78
Entry 59¢·40 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $24 · WR 82.0%
B
balthazar
Entry 58¢·40 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $23 · WR 71.9%
L
Lucerys
Entry 69¢·25 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $17 · WR 87.7%
R
Roflan-ludoman
Entry 59¢·20 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $12 · WR 58.1%
A
anothercoin
Entry 70¢·12.8 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $9 · WR 84.6%
H
heyhighhuii1
Entry 67¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $7 · WR 60.3%
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