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Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 15?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
60¢
60% implied
NO Price
40¢
40% implied
Volume
$3.9K
166 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 110 traders

Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15?

11 MARKETS · $11.9K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

4 YESvs16 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 60¢
YES 20%NO 80%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 60¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 77% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 53%· net of hedges
+60 new YES · 3 smart whales+66 new NO · 15 smart whales
$328 bought on both sides by the same 21 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘsplit 3 · 5
YES 3NO 5one dot = one wallet
3 wallets on YES
5 wallets on NO

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 29h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $324 is directional: YES $248·NO $76
YES Team
Total Invested
$248
Avg Win Rate
74.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$41(+16.4%)
Whales
4
S
sbel🥇
Entry 55¢·421.7 shares
+$15INV $233 · WR 75.3%
H
HWReborn🥈
Entry 35¢·22.4 shares
+$5INV $8 · WR 55.9%
N
newbie147🥉
Entry 9¢·41.1 shares
+$20INV $4 · WR 70.9%
N
Near-Science
Entry 51¢·7.4 shares
+$1INV $4 · WR 57.5%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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