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Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 15?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
34¢
34% implied
NO Price
66¢
66% implied
Volume
$2.6K
116 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 72 traders · 1 on both sides

Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15?

11 MARKETS · $7.3K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

9 YESvs5 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 34¢
YES 64%NO 36%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 34¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 77% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 2 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 63%· net of hedges
+44 new YES · 5 smart whales+46 new NO · 6 smart whales
$752 bought on both sides by the same 19 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ4 of 4 on YES
YES 4NO 0one dot = one wallet
4 wallets on YES
0 wallets on NO

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 16h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$10 of $113 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $79·NO $24
YES Team
Total Invested
$84
Avg Win Rate
60.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$28(+33.5%)
Whales
9
P
pierodi87🥇
Entry 47¢·127 shares
$-7INV $60 · WR 55.8%
W
whhisky🥈hedged
Entry 48¢·10 shares·also $5 on NO
$-1INV $5 · WR 70.4%
W
Whoknows69🥉
Entry 33¢·13.1 shares
+$1INV $4 · WR 76.2%
9
0x9043d05c...
Entry 41¢·10 shares
+$0INV $4 · WR 63.6%
N
newbie147
Entry 9¢·41.1 shares
+$13INV $4 · WR 70.9%
N
Near-Science
Entry 33¢·10.7 shares
+$1INV $4 · WR 57.6%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 5¢·25 shares
+$9INV $1 · WR 88.5%
L
Lucerys
Entry 9¢·12.7 shares
+$4INV $1 · WR 87.7%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 5¢·20 shares
+$7INV $1 · WR 79.6%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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