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Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 15?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
53¢
53% implied
NO Price
47¢
47% implied
Volume
$2.6K
75 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 58 traders

Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15?

11 MARKETS · $7.3K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs9 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 53¢
YES 18%NO 82%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 53¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 27% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 59%· net of hedges
+33 new YES · 1 smart whale+44 new NO · 9 smart whales
$1.1K bought on both sides by the same 19 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ3 of 3 on NO
YES 0NO 3one dot = one wallet
0 wallets on YES
3 wallets on NO

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 16h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $42 is directional: YES $12·NO $31
YES Team
Total Invested
$12
Avg Win Rate
60.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$19(+166.6%)
Whales
2
H
HWReborn🥇
Entry 35¢·22.4 shares
+$3INV $8 · WR 55.7%
N
newbie147🥈
Entry 9¢·41.1 shares
+$16INV $4 · WR 70.9%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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