Resolved
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in December 2025?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$80.1K
984 trades
Smart Whales
41
of 181 traders
December 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)
7 MARKETS · $81.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026
25¢−25¢$1640/1by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026−25¢25¢
$1640/1
by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026
33¢—$50/0by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026—33¢
$50/0
by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026
44¢—$950/0by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026—44¢
$950/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs33 NO
20%81%
81% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$227
Avg Win Rate
85.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$224(-98.5%)
Whales
8
D
devoteeOfBeshaba🥇hedged
Entry 99¢·200 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$197
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-197
$-197INV $197 · WR 86.2%
A
aviato🥈hedged
Entry 2¢·519.1 shares·also $487 on NO
Invested
$12
Win Rate
91.3%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $12 · WR 91.3%
F
Forfunzies🥉
Entry 1¢·660.8 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $8 · WR 68.4%
K
kanshifu
Entry 1¢·760 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 58.3%
H
hall.in.ass
Entry 1¢·106.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 87.5%
R
Rr55hedged
Entry 0¢·1,490.2 shares·also $259 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 73.2%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged
Entry 0¢·451.2 shares·also $430 on NO
Invested
$0
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 57.7%
Showing top 7 of 8
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.1K
Avg Win Rate
84.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$15.1K(+297.3%)
Whales
33
R
rated🥇
Entry 41¢·5,162.4 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$3041
+$3041INV $2.1K · WR 87.7%
I
influenz.eth🥈
Entry 11¢·7,046.1 shares
Invested
$798
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$6248
+$6248INV $798 · WR 85.8%
A
aviato🥉hedged
Entry 94¢·519.1 shares·also $12 on YES
Invested
$487
Win Rate
91.3%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $487 · WR 91.3%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged
Entry 95¢·451.2 shares·also $0 on YES
Invested
$430
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $430 · WR 57.7%
T
testwallet4
Entry 99¢·396 shares
Invested
$392
Win Rate
92.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $392 · WR 92.2%
R
Rr55hedged
Entry 98¢·264.9 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$259
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $259 · WR 73.2%
W
wokerjoesleeper
Entry 7¢·1,535.3 shares
Invested
$112
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$1423
+$1423INV $112 · WR 87.6%
E
EdwardLewis
Entry 24¢·258.8 shares
Invested
$63
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$196
+$196INV $63 · WR 89.0%
C
CPU
Entry 99¢·60 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
64.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $59 · WR 64.0%
F
flow-trader-at-optiver
Entry 1¢·2,360 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
+$2340
+$2340INV $20 · WR 81.6%
Showing top 10 of 33
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