Tech/AI47 days left
Will there be no next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) release by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
69¢
69% implied
NO Price
31¢
31% implied
Volume
$1.5K
39 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 35 traders
Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?
49 MARKETS · $16.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 14, 2026
3¢—$4080/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 14, 2026—3¢
$4080/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 15, 2026
1¢—$2750/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 15, 2026—1¢
$2750/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 16, 2026
1¢—$3530/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 16, 2026—1¢
$3530/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 17, 2026
1¢—$7250/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 17, 2026—1¢
$7250/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 18, 2026
1¢—$3560/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 18, 2026—1¢
$3560/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 19, 2026
8¢—$5620/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 19, 2026—8¢
$5620/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 20, 2026
3¢—$2930/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 20, 2026—3¢
$2930/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 21, 2026
2¢—$3510/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 21, 2026—2¢
$3510/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 22, 2026
4¢−4¢$3030/1Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 22, 2026−4¢4¢
$3030/1
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 23, 2026
3¢−3¢$3280/1Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 23, 2026−3¢3¢
$3280/1
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 24, 2026
2¢—$3570/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 24, 2026—2¢
$3570/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 25, 2026
1¢—$2620/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 25, 2026—1¢
$2620/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 26, 2026
1¢—$2620/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 26, 2026—1¢
$2620/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 27, 2026
1¢−1¢$3030/1Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 27, 2026−1¢1¢
$3030/1
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 28, 2026
0¢—$2750/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 28, 2026—0¢
$2750/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 29, 2026
0¢—$2750/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 29, 2026—0¢
$2750/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 30, 2026
1¢—$2950/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 30, 2026—1¢
$2950/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 1, 2026
1¢—$2750/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 1, 2026—1¢
$2750/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 2, 2026
1¢—$2750/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 2, 2026—1¢
$2750/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 3, 2026
0¢—$2750/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 3, 2026—0¢
$2750/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 4, 2026
1¢—$2620/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 4, 2026—1¢
$2620/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 5, 2026
1¢−1¢$2830/1Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 5, 2026−1¢1¢
$2830/1
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 6, 2026
1¢—$2620/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 6, 2026—1¢
$2620/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 7, 2026
1¢—$2620/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 7, 2026—1¢
$2620/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 8, 2026
1¢—$2990/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 8, 2026—1¢
$2990/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 9, 2026
1¢—$2580/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 9, 2026—1¢
$2580/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 10, 2026
1¢—$2620/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 10, 2026—1¢
$2620/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 11, 2026
3¢—$3030/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 11, 2026—3¢
$3030/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 12, 2026
1¢—$3770/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 12, 2026—1¢
$3770/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 13, 2026
1¢—$2830/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 13, 2026—1¢
$2830/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 14, 2026
1¢—$2750/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 14, 2026—1¢
$2750/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 15, 2026
2¢—$2990/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 15, 2026—2¢
$2990/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 16, 2026
1¢—$2830/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 16, 2026—1¢
$2830/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 17, 2026
1¢−1¢$2930/1Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 17, 2026−1¢1¢
$2930/1
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 18, 2026
0¢—$2750/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 18, 2026—0¢
$2750/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 19, 2026
1¢—$3030/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 19, 2026—1¢
$3030/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 20, 2026
1¢—$2830/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 20, 2026—1¢
$2830/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 21, 2026
1¢—$2830/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 21, 2026—1¢
$2830/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 22, 2026
1¢—$3370/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 22, 2026—1¢
$3370/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 23, 2026
1¢—$3550/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 23, 2026—1¢
$3550/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 24, 2026
1¢—$2830/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 24, 2026—1¢
$2830/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 25, 2026
1¢—$3070/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 25, 2026—1¢
$3070/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 26, 2026
0¢—$2750/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 26, 2026—0¢
$2750/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 27, 2026
1¢—$2830/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 27, 2026—1¢
$2830/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 28, 2026
1¢—$8010/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 28, 2026—1¢
$8010/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 29, 2026
2¢—$3360/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 29, 2026—2¢
$3360/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 30, 2026
1¢—$2830/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 30, 2026—1¢
$2830/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs4 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 69¢
YES 43%NO 57%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 69¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 97% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 54%· net of hedges
$707
$815
+15 new YES · 3 smart whales+28 new NO · 4 smart whales
$209 bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers — left out of momentum
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $559 is directional: YES $542·NO $16YES Team
Total Invested
$542
Avg Win Rate
84.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$33(-6.0%)
Whales
3
N
newbignewsagencypro🥇
Entry 59¢·614 shares
Invested
$361
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-82
$-82INV $361 · WR 88.9%
J
Jovial-Diary🥈
Entry 62¢·201.2 shares
Invested
$125
Win Rate
80.3%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $125 · WR 80.3%
N
NoTeacher🥉
Entry 18¢·304.8 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
60.7%
Position P&L
+$83
+$83INV $56 · WR 60.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$83
Avg Win Rate
81.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$15(-18.3%)
Whales
4
G
godblessme2026🥇
Entry 39¢·90 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $35 · WR 87.9%
A
alex20011🥈
Entry 82¢·24.8 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
74.8%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $20 · WR 74.8%
M
merod🥉
Entry 40¢·41 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
83.4%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $16 · WR 83.4%
B
balthazar
Entry 39¢·28.2 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $11 · WR 71.9%
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