Tech/AI6 days left
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 20, 2026?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$293
14 trades
Smart Whales
6
of 16 traders
Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?
49 MARKETS · $16.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 1, 2026
1¢—$2750/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 1, 2026—1¢
$2750/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 10, 2026
1¢—$2620/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 10, 2026—1¢
$2620/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 11, 2026
3¢—$3030/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 11, 2026—3¢
$3030/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 12, 2026
1¢—$3770/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 12, 2026—1¢
$3770/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 13, 2026
1¢—$2830/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 13, 2026—1¢
$2830/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 14, 2026
1¢—$2750/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 14, 2026—1¢
$2750/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 15, 2026
2¢—$2990/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 15, 2026—2¢
$2990/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 16, 2026
1¢—$2830/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 16, 2026—1¢
$2830/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 17, 2026
1¢−1¢$2930/1Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 17, 2026−1¢1¢
$2930/1
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 18, 2026
0¢—$2750/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 18, 2026—0¢
$2750/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 19, 2026
1¢—$3030/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 19, 2026—1¢
$3030/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 2, 2026
1¢—$2750/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 2, 2026—1¢
$2750/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 20, 2026
1¢—$2830/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 20, 2026—1¢
$2830/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 21, 2026
1¢—$2830/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 21, 2026—1¢
$2830/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 22, 2026
1¢—$3370/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 22, 2026—1¢
$3370/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 23, 2026
1¢—$3550/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 23, 2026—1¢
$3550/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 24, 2026
1¢—$2830/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 24, 2026—1¢
$2830/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 25, 2026
1¢—$3070/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 25, 2026—1¢
$3070/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 26, 2026
0¢—$2750/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 26, 2026—0¢
$2750/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 27, 2026
1¢—$2830/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 27, 2026—1¢
$2830/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 28, 2026
1¢—$8010/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 28, 2026—1¢
$8010/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 29, 2026
2¢—$3360/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 29, 2026—2¢
$3360/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 3, 2026
0¢—$2750/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 3, 2026—0¢
$2750/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 30, 2026
1¢—$2830/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 30, 2026—1¢
$2830/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 31, 2026
1¢—$2830/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 31, 2026—1¢
$2830/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 4, 2026
1¢—$2620/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 4, 2026—1¢
$2620/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 5, 2026
1¢−1¢$2830/1Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 5, 2026−1¢1¢
$2830/1
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 6, 2026
1¢—$2620/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 6, 2026—1¢
$2620/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 7, 2026
1¢—$2620/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 7, 2026—1¢
$2620/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 8, 2026
1¢—$2990/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 8, 2026—1¢
$2990/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 9, 2026
1¢—$2580/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 9, 2026—1¢
$2580/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 14, 2026
3¢—$4080/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 14, 2026—3¢
$4080/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 15, 2026
1¢—$2750/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 15, 2026—1¢
$2750/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 16, 2026
1¢—$3530/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 16, 2026—1¢
$3530/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 17, 2026
1¢—$7250/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 17, 2026—1¢
$7250/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 18, 2026
1¢—$3560/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 18, 2026—1¢
$3560/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 19, 2026
8¢—$5620/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 19, 2026—8¢
$5620/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 20, 2026←
3¢—$2930/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 20, 2026←—3¢
$2930/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 21, 2026
2¢—$3510/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 21, 2026—2¢
$3510/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 22, 2026
4¢−4¢$3030/1Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 22, 2026−4¢4¢
$3030/1
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 23, 2026
3¢−3¢$3280/1Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 23, 2026−3¢3¢
$3280/1
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 24, 2026
2¢—$3570/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 24, 2026—2¢
$3570/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 25, 2026
1¢—$2620/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 25, 2026—1¢
$2620/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 26, 2026
1¢—$2620/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 26, 2026—1¢
$2620/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 27, 2026
1¢−1¢$3030/1Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 27, 2026−1¢1¢
$3030/1
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 28, 2026
0¢—$2750/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 28, 2026—0¢
$2750/0
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 29, 2026
0¢—$2750/0Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 29, 2026—0¢
$2750/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs5 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 3¢
YES 17%NO 83%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 3¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%
$4
$288
+5 new YES+11 new NO · 5 smart whales
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1 is directional: YES $1·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$1
Avg Win Rate
83.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$2(+364.4%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$132
Avg Win Rate
81.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$8(+5.7%)
Whales
5
N
northdrawer🥇
Entry 99¢·40 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $40 · WR 87.5%
G
godblessme2026🥈
Entry 99¢·40 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $40 · WR 87.9%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 99¢·28.3 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $28 · WR 71.9%
A
alex20011
Entry 99¢·24.8 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
74.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $25 · WR 74.8%
G
god83743894
Entry 0¢·10 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $0 · WR 86.0%
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