Geopolitics137 days left
Will Israel be top 5 in the World Happiness Report 2027?
YES Price
34¢
34% implied
NO Price
66¢
66% implied
Volume
$6.7K
142 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 69 traders
World Happiness Report 2027: Top 5 countries
10 MARKETS · $15.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs7 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 34¢
YES 30%NO 70%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 34¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 37% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 75%· net of hedges
$2.1K
$5.8K
+38 new YES · 3 smart whales+50 new NO · 8 smart whales
$478 bought on both sides by the same 19 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ4 of 5 on NO
YES 1NO 4one dot = one wallet
1 wallet on YES
4 wallets on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 18h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.3K is directional: YES $500·NO $836YES Team
Total Invested
$500
Avg Win Rate
74.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$44(+8.8%)
Whales
3
P
Pure-Threat◆Proven🥇
Entry 30¢·1,136.9 shares
Invested
$342
Win Rate
81.9%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $342 · WR 81.9%
G
GenaTheBondKilIer◆Proven🥈
Entry 32¢·386.3 shares
Invested
$124
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $124 · WR 56.1%
H
Honest-Surprise🥉
Entry 35¢·100 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $35 · WR 65.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$836
Avg Win Rate
74.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$27(-3.2%)
Whales
7
D
DFK🥇
Entry 71¢·507.6 shares
Invested
$361
Win Rate
82.8%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $361 · WR 82.8%
A
Alicia◆Proven🥈
Entry 68¢·429 shares
Invested
$290
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $290 · WR 70.2%
G
Gluckyklucky🥉
Entry 65¢·100 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
81.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $65 · WR 81.4%
A
Askeladd.
Entry 68¢·89.6 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $61 · WR 58.3%
O
Oskoreiter
Entry 65¢·80 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $52 · WR 57.0%
_
_test_i075_CAND_11b7
Entry 68¢·8.4 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $6 · WR 56.9%
5
0x54498e4c...
Entry 71¢·1.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 55.5%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 248ms