Resolved
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in November 2025?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$91.5K
1,495 trades
Smart Whales
67
of 397 traders
November 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)
7 MARKETS · $93.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026
23¢−23¢$1640/1by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026−23¢23¢
$1640/1
by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026
24¢—$1470/0by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026—24¢
$1470/0
by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026
44¢—$950/0by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026—44¢
$950/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
29 YESvs38 NO
43%57%
57% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3.9K is directional: YES $3.9K·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$9.2K
Avg Win Rate
67.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$8.7K(-94.3%)
Whales
29
G
gopfan2◆Proven🥇
Entry 22¢·18,000.1 shares
Invested
$3.9K
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-3933
$-3933INV $3.9K · WR 60.2%
R
Ryxon21🥈hedged
Entry 80¢·2,232.9 shares·also $380 on NO
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
$-1788
$-1788INV $1.8K · WR 71.3%
B
balerinacapuchina🥉hedged
Entry 87¢·2,000 shares·also $273 on NO
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-1730
$-1730INV $1.7K · WR 70.5%
A
arjennnnnhedged
Entry 96¢·858.9 shares·also $107 on NO
Invested
$820
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-820
$-820INV $820 · WR 87.5%
L
LR1
Entry 14¢·1,111 shares
Invested
$151
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
$-151
$-151INV $151 · WR 62.8%
M
multitender
Entry 94¢·132.7 shares
Invested
$125
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
$-125
$-125INV $125 · WR 71.3%
R
Rr55hedged
Entry 14¢·436.5 shares·also $430 on NO
Invested
$61
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
$-61
$-61INV $61 · WR 73.2%
E
EgoVolaehedged
Entry 12¢·238.4 shares·also $177 on NO
Invested
$28
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $28 · WR 58.6%
O
Oompa-Loompa◆Proven
Entry 7¢·300 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $21 · WR 69.8%
Showing top 9 of 29
NO Team
Total Invested
$18.8K
Avg Win Rate
70.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$17.6K(+94.0%)
Whales
38
R
russell110320🥇
Entry 63¢·22,756.7 shares
Invested
$14.3K
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
+$8454
+$8454INV $14.3K · WR 67.5%
I
influenz.eth🥈
Entry 35¢·3,059.7 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1987
+$1987INV $1.1K · WR 85.8%
F
flow-trader-at-optiver🥉
Entry 30¢·1,617.8 shares
Invested
$479
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
+$1138
+$1138INV $479 · WR 81.6%
R
Rr55hedged
Entry 98¢·436.5 shares·also $61 on YES
Invested
$430
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $430 · WR 73.2%
R
Ryxon21hedged
Entry 16¢·2,368.6 shares·also $1.8K on YES
Invested
$380
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
+$1989
+$1989INV $380 · WR 71.3%
B
balerinacapuchinahedged
Entry 14¢·2,018.8 shares·also $1.7K on YES
Invested
$273
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
+$1746
+$1746INV $273 · WR 70.5%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 85¢·303.7 shares
Invested
$257
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $257 · WR 83.8%
W
wokerjoesleeper
Entry 38¢·633.6 shares
Invested
$240
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$394
+$394INV $240 · WR 87.6%
A
alphacompound
Entry 96¢·209.4 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
92.5%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $200 · WR 92.5%
E
EgoVolaehedged
Entry 77¢·228.7 shares·also $28 on YES
Invested
$177
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
+$52
+$52INV $177 · WR 58.6%
Showing top 10 of 38
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