Resolved
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in November 2025?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$303.3K
1,717 trades
Smart Whales
30
of 890 traders
November 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)
7 MARKETS · $304.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026
25¢−25¢$1640/1by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026−25¢25¢
$1640/1
by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026
33¢—$50/0by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026—33¢
$50/0
by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026
44¢—$950/0by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026—44¢
$950/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs24 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$22
Avg Win Rate
66.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$22(-100.0%)
Whales
6
A
Atreides.🥇
Entry 10¢·80 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $8 · WR 65.1%
D
Drunken-Mentat🥈
Entry 0¢·1,200 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
75.4%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 75.4%
F
Forfunzies🥉
Entry 4¢·100 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 68.4%
E
EgoVolaehedged
Entry 11¢·36.8 shares·also $14 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 58.6%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 0¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 57.7%
P
pippero◆Proven
Entry 1¢·53.3 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 57.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.3K
Avg Win Rate
85.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$6.6K(+504.9%)
Whales
24
I
influenz.eth🥇
Entry 21¢·3,433.3 shares
Invested
$730
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$2704
+$2704INV $730 · WR 85.8%
W
wokerjoesleeper🥈
Entry 23¢·805.6 shares
Invested
$183
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$623
+$623INV $183 · WR 87.6%
E
EdwardLewis🥉
Entry 34¢·205.9 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$136
+$136INV $70 · WR 89.0%
N
NoLoyaltyToTheBosses
Entry 47¢·122 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$65
+$65INV $57 · WR 85.8%
F
flow-trader-at-optiver
Entry 3¢·1,617.8 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
+$1567
+$1567INV $51 · WR 81.6%
I
itsjustcheddar
Entry 14¢·338 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
+$291
+$291INV $47 · WR 80.8%
T
Tysha
Entry 99¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $30 · WR 89.2%
A
AgricultureSecretary◆Proven
Entry 99¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
91.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $30 · WR 91.2%
S
shine
Entry 18¢·163.7 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$134
+$134INV $29 · WR 89.3%
E
EgoVolaehedged
Entry 91¢·15.4 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$14
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $14 · WR 58.6%
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