Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $540 on November 6?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$3.4K
49 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 24 traders · 1 on both sides
Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on November 6?
5 MARKETS · $5.9K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs6 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%· net of hedges
+12 new YES$87+16 new NO$2.3K
$92 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$2 of $640 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $630·NO $9YES Team
Total Invested
$631
Avg Win Rate
58.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$613(-97.1%)
Whales
6
C
CamelUp◆Proven🥇
Entry 67¢·892 shares
Invested
$597
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
$-583
$-583INV $597 · WR 58.4%
P
PippiTrader🥈
Entry 9¢·150 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $14 · WR 57.7%
G
grasstoucher69🥉
Entry 17¢·60.6 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $10 · WR 56.9%
S
Scrawny-Original-Plasterboardhedged
Entry 21¢·44 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$9
Win Rate
90.2%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $9 · WR 90.2%
S
satanisrealhedged
Entry 11¢·10 shares·also $8 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 63.2%
C
0xce835d04...
Entry 38¢·2.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 65.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$18
Avg Win Rate
63.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$9(+51.0%)
Whales
6
S
satanisreal🥇hedged
Entry 84¢·10 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$8
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $8 · WR 63.2%
A
Abcd20🥈
Entry 66¢·7.7 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $5 · WR 61.1%
T
toomanyfent🥉
Entry 72¢·2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 63.6%
7
0x7908c71c...
Entry 76¢·1.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 57.1%
9
0x9360f16a...
Entry 76¢·1.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 58.6%
S
Scrawny-Original-Plasterboardhedged
Entry 18¢·5 shares·also $9 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
90.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $1 · WR 90.2%
Smart Whale Trades
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