Abcd20 · Polymarket wallet 0xd187…6423

Wallet snapshot

Abcd20 has made 55 trades on Polymarket across 36 markets, $660 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (61%) and politics (14%). On 15 resolved markets the win rate is 60%, lifetime P&L +$92. It holds 17 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?". Last trade: Nov 1, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?No · $32 · 17¢ → 19¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire ends before Netanyahu out?Yes · $28 · 47¢ → 66¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?No · $22 · 32¢ → 35¢
• Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026?Yes · $18 · 26¢ → 16¢
• Israel military action against Greater Beirut by November 30?Yes · $14 · 17¢ → 24¢
• Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes · $13 · 37¢ → 46¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?No · $12 · 11¢ → 9¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?No · $12 · 38¢ → 47¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No · $11 · 47¢ → 51¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?No · $10 · 60¢ → 61¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes · +$14 · Nov 2, 2026
• Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes · +$5 · Nov 1, 2026
• Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?No · +$0 · Nov 1, 2026
• Will RZP-Zehut win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes · -$9 · Nov 1, 2026
• Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes · +$15 · Oct 31, 2026
• Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes · +$38 · Oct 31, 2026

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