Polymarket wallet 0xce83…0fdd

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xce83…0fdd has made 79 trades on Polymarket across 77 markets, $103 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (19%) and crypto (11%). On 66 resolved markets the win rate is 65.2%, lifetime P&L +$16. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?". Last trade: Nov 6, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Yes · $1 · 80¢ → 95¢
• Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of October 2026?No · $1 · 73¢ → 84¢
• US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?Yes · $1 · 78¢ → 84¢
• Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?Yes · $0 · 75¢ → 29¢
• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?No · $0 · 23¢ → 8¢
• Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $540 on November 6?Yes · $0 · 37¢ → 4¢

Latest closed positions

• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?No · +$1 · Nov 6, 2026
• SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 5?Yes · -$1 · Nov 5, 2026
• SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 5?No · +$2 · Nov 5, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Nov 5, 2026
• Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?No · +$1 · Nov 5, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?No · +$0 · Nov 4, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on November 3?No · +$2 · Nov 3, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.