17 days left

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.61% in November?

Trade on Polymarket

YES Price

2¢

2% implied

NO Price

98¢

98% implied

Volume

$3.1K

92 trades

Smart Whales

6

of 36 traders

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in November?

9 MARKETS · $12.2K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.82% in November

5¢+78¢$1.9K5/1

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.82% in November+78¢5¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.79% in November

3¢+30¢$1.3K1/2

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.79% in November+30¢3¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in November

3¢+47¢$8681/1

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in November+47¢3¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.73% in November

4¢+46¢$1.3K1/1

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.73% in November+46¢4¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in November

2¢+48¢$8281/1

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in November+48¢2¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.67% in November

1¢+70¢$1.7K5/2

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.67% in November+70¢1¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.64% in November

1¢+24¢$8251/3

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.64% in November+24¢1¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.61% in November←

2¢+15¢$3.1K1/5

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.61% in November←+15¢2¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.57% in November

2¢−2¢$4460/5

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.57% in November−2¢2¢

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Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs5 NO

Wallets vs price

Price 2¢

YES 17%NO 83%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 2¢

Net of both-sides wallets: 38% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 5 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%

$0

$45

+0 new YES+2 new NO

Teams by

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $498 is directional: YES $187·NO $311

YES Team

Total Invested

$187

Avg Win Rate

64.4%

Aggregate P&L

-$154(-82.5%)

Whales

1

Entry 18¢·1,040 shares

$-154INV $187 · WR 64.4%

NO Team

Total Invested

$311

Avg Win Rate

61.6%

Aggregate P&L

+$23(+7.4%)

Whales

5

Entry 89¢·200 shares

+$8INV $179 · WR 59.0%

Entry 89¢·70.9 shares

+$3INV $63 · WR 59.9%

mavsgseguritas🥉

Entry 79¢·61.8 shares

+$9INV $49 · WR 72.8%

ArmageddonRewardsBilly

Entry 82¢·14.1 shares

+$2INV $12 · WR 57.1%

Entry 89¢·10 shares

+$1INV $9 · WR 71.7%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 17% YES: the 10-year Treasury yield dip below…