17 days left

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.64% in November?

Trade on Polymarket

YES Price

1¢

1% implied

NO Price

99¢

99% implied

Volume

$825

54 trades

Smart Whales

4

of 35 traders

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in November?

9 MARKETS · $12.2K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.82% in November

5¢+78¢$1.9K5/1

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.82% in November+78¢5¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.79% in November

3¢+30¢$1.3K1/2

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.79% in November+30¢3¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in November

3¢+47¢$8681/1

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in November+47¢3¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.73% in November

4¢+46¢$1.3K1/1

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.73% in November+46¢4¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in November

2¢+48¢$8281/1

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in November+48¢2¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.67% in November

1¢+70¢$1.7K5/2

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.67% in November+70¢1¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.64% in November←

1¢+24¢$8251/3

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.64% in November←+24¢1¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.61% in November

2¢+15¢$3.1K1/5

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.61% in November+15¢2¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.57% in November

2¢−2¢$4460/5

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.57% in November−2¢2¢

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Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs3 NO

Wallets vs price

Price 0.9¢

YES 25%NO 75%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 0.9¢

Net of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 3 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%· net of hedges

$0

$10

+2 new YES+1 new NO

$0 bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum

Teams by

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $210 is directional: YES $2·NO $208

YES Team

Total Invested

$2

Avg Win Rate

59.9%

Aggregate P&L

-$2(-76.5%)

Whales

1

Entry 11¢·17.7 shares

$-2INV $2 · WR 59.9%

NO Team

Total Invested

$208

Avg Win Rate

61.6%

Aggregate P&L

+$36(+17.3%)

Whales

3

Entry 83¢·190 shares

+$30INV $157 · WR 59.0%

mavsgseguritas🥈

Entry 89¢·46 shares

+$4INV $41 · WR 72.8%

ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥉

Entry 79¢·12.6 shares

+$2INV $10 · WR 57.1%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 25% YES: the 10-year Treasury yield dip below…