Geopolitics5 days left
Will 210 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 9-November 15?
YES Price
13¢
13% implied
NO Price
87¢
87% implied
Volume
$3.3K
129 trades
Smart Whales
4
of 64 traders
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 9?
5 MARKETS · $5.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 150-169 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 9-November 15
18¢+32¢$3381/1Will 150-169 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 9-November 15+32¢18¢
$3381/1
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 9-November 15
28¢+72¢$1442/0Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 9-November 15+72¢28¢
$1442/0
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 9-November 15
35¢+15¢$2251/1Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 9-November 15+15¢35¢
$2251/1
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs3 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$17+4 new NO$69
$17 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $168 is directional: YES $0·NO $168YES Team
Total Invested
$5
Avg Win Rate
69.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$2(-27.8%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$192
Avg Win Rate
57.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$21(+10.7%)
Whales
3
J
johnashbough🥇
Entry 77¢·205.2 shares
Invested
$158
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $158 · WR 55.3%
Y
yoyo424269🥈hedged
Entry 81¢·30 shares·also $5 on YES
Invested
$24
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $24 · WR 69.7%
S
Striped-Camera🥉
Entry 84¢·11.9 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
70.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 70.6%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 33ms