Geopolitics5 days left
Will 150-169 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 9-November 15?
YES Price
18¢
18% implied
NO Price
82¢
82% implied
Volume
$338
19 trades
Smart Whales
2
of 19 traders
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 9?
5 MARKETS · $5.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 150-169 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 9-November 15←
18¢+32¢$3381/1Will 150-169 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 9-November 15←+32¢18¢
$3381/1
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 9-November 15
28¢+72¢$1442/0Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 9-November 15+72¢28¢
$1442/0
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 9-November 15
35¢+15¢$2251/1Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 9-November 15+15¢35¢
$2251/1
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Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs1 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%· net of hedges
+6 new YES$20+7 new NO$115
$23 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $149 is directional: YES $0·NO $149YES Team
Total Invested
$6
Avg Win Rate
71.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$1(+25.2%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$149
Avg Win Rate
83.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$23(-15.1%)
Whales
1
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