Geopolitics3 days left
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by November 15, 2026?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$3.9K
114 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 70 traders
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?
2 MARKETS · $10.7K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs8 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 91%· net of hedges
+11 new YES$35+2 new NO$356
$3 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.5K is directional: YES $26·NO $1.5KYES Team
Total Invested
$26
Avg Win Rate
59.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$21(-79.4%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.5K
Avg Win Rate
77.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$167(+11.1%)
Whales
8
S
SakuraDevil🥇
Entry 84¢·794 shares
Invested
$665
Win Rate
73.4%
Position P&L
+$102
+$102INV $665 · WR 73.4%
J
Johndorito🥈
Entry 88¢·391.8 shares
Invested
$345
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $345 · WR 82.7%
C
completedegen🥉
Entry 93¢·361 shares
Invested
$337
Win Rate
82.5%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $337 · WR 82.5%
B
bakayo33 - 9934
Entry 85¢·71.2 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $60 · WR 60.5%
U
Udonsan
Entry 86¢·40 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $34 · WR 83.3%
G
geowatch
Entry 81¢·31 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
67.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $25 · WR 67.9%
B
Blueynbingo
Entry 89¢·21.4 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $19 · WR 69.6%
S
sanlitou2026p1
Entry 88¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
94.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $18 · WR 94.5%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 616ms