sanlitou2026p1 · Polymarket wallet 0x7a8e…89d8

Wallet snapshot

sanlitou2026p1 has made 1,399 trades on Polymarket across 549 markets, $15K in volume. Most of it is in politics (37%) and geopolitics (27%). On 364 resolved markets the win rate is 96.2%, lifetime P&L +$43. It holds 190 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by September 30, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 13, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by September 30, 2026?No · $33 · 96¢ → 97¢
• Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15?No · $24 · 81¢ → 98¢
• Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 14, 2026?No · $23 · 83¢ → 98¢
• Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 16, 2026?No · $23 · 85¢ → 98¢
• Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?No · $22 · 84¢ → 94¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No · $22 · 91¢ → 99¢
• Will Moonshot be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?No · $21 · 90¢ → 100¢
• Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?No · $21 · 89¢ → 100¢
• Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?No · $21 · 89¢ → 100¢
• Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?No · $21 · 87¢ → 94¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 13, 2026?No · +$3 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will Alex Allinson be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?No · +$0 · Oct 13, 2026
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?Yes · +$2 · Oct 13, 2026
• Will Gemini Argon be released on October 14, 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 13, 2026
• Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026?Yes · +$2 · Oct 13, 2026
• Israel military action against Lebanon on October 13?Yes · +$1 · Oct 13, 2026
• Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 10, 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.