🐋OrcaLayer
Sign In
Politics32 days left

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
72¢
72% implied
NO Price
28¢
28% implied
Volume
$681.2K
5,420 trades
Smart Whales
311
of 1,320 traders · 1 on both sides

Alaska Senate Election Winner

7 MARKETS · $1.09M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

171 YESvs141 NO
55%45%
55% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 96% YES by dollars · 136 YES vs 45 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 73%· net of hedges
+21 new YES$6.6K+9 new NO$2.7K
$924 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
8 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $240.9K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $232.2K·NO $8.6K
YES Team
Total Invested
$248.0K
Avg Win Rate
78.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.5K(-0.6%)
Whales
171
S
scottilicious🥇
Entry 77¢·94,640.4 shares
$-6159INV $72.9K · WR 85.5%
S
SlavaUkraini🥈
Entry 72¢·49,999.9 shares
$-750INV $36.0K · WR 73.5%
P
PolBandit🥉
Entry 76¢·22,872.5 shares
$-1201INV $17.3K · WR 87.5%
O
Outsid3rTrading
Entry 80¢·9,999.5 shares
$-944INV $8.0K · WR 55.0%
L
lomneivanhedged
Entry 37¢·21,396.5 shares·also $18.1K on NO
+$7312INV $8.0K · WR 69.0%
R
Robust-Exhaust
Entry 77¢·10,000 shares
$-650INV $7.7K · WR 87.4%
S
SAPolitcsSeer
Entry 76¢·9,340 shares
$-490INV $7.1K · WR 91.8%
B
BuddhaYTorrance
Entry 76¢·6,700 shares
$-352INV $5.1K · WR 95.3%
Y
Yirmeyahu
Entry 76¢·6,592.5 shares
$-345INV $5.0K · WR 64.4%
J
JoeBlack01
Entry 78¢·6,000 shares
$-460INV $4.7K · WR 60.3%
Showing top 10 of 171

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 360ms