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Politics3 days left

Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
19¢
19% implied
NO Price
81¢
81% implied
Volume
$2.58M
14,359 trades
Smart Whales
288
of 1,743 traders · 2 on both sides

Michigan Senate Election Winner

2 MARKETS · $5.64M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

102 YESvs188 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 37% YES by dollars · 61 YES vs 84 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 64%· net of hedges
+147 new YES$73.2K+58 new NO$41.9K
$4.6K of this was bought on both sides by the same 18 buyers — left out of momentum
21 smart whales19 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$142 of $101.5K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $37.4K·NO $63.9K
YES Team
Total Invested
$72.4K
Avg Win Rate
65.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$23.2K(-32.0%)
Whales
102
F
flawfenceProven🥇
Entry 65¢·36,146 shares
$-16704INV $23.4K · WR 55.6%
A
aenews2Proven🥈
Entry 22¢·100,000 shares
$-3000INV $21.5K · WR 74.6%
S
smoovdawg🥉
Entry 43¢·5,922.9 shares
$-1462INV $2.6K · WR 71.4%
T
truthteller
Entry 21¢·10,500.2 shares
$-272INV $2.2K · WR 57.7%
E
Eatpraylove
Entry 19¢·10,000 shares
$-100INV $1.9K · WR 72.8%
L
Lolakis
Entry 19¢·7,607.7 shares
$-24INV $1.4K · WR 61.8%
L
LexingtonProven
Entry 21¢·6,441.1 shares
$-193INV $1.4K · WR 66.8%
P
probabilityProven
Entry 31¢·2,399.6 shares
$-305INV $748 · WR 60.0%
D
DirkDiggler67Proven
Entry 20¢·2,762.3 shares
$-46INV $557 · WR 67.6%
A
AgricultureSecretaryProven
Entry 22¢·2,500 shares
$-88INV $550 · WR 90.8%
Showing top 10 of 102

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 35% YES: the Republicans win the Michigan…