YES Price
21¢
21% implied
NO Price
79¢
79% implied
Volume
$2.4K
100 trades
Smart Whales
18
of 52 traders
Ballon d'Or 2026: 2nd Place
30 MARKETS · $19.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
12¢—$1.4K0/0Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—12¢
$1.4K0/0
Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or←
21¢—$2.4K0/0Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or←—21¢
$2.4K0/0
Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
57¢—$5.0K0/0Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—57¢
$5.0K0/0
Will Rodri finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
7¢—$1.0K0/0Will Rodri finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—7¢
$1.0K0/0
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
3¢—$1.0K0/0Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—3¢
$1.0K0/0
Will Lionel Messi finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
5¢—$1.1K0/0Will Lionel Messi finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—5¢
$1.1K0/0
Will Fabian Ruiz finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
1¢—$4780/0Will Fabian Ruiz finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—1¢
$4780/0
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$6590/0Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$6590/0
Will Pau Cubarsi finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$7470/0Will Pau Cubarsi finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$7470/0
Will Erling Haaland finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
1¢—$6060/0Will Erling Haaland finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—1¢
$6060/0
Will Jude Bellingham finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
1¢—$7300/0Will Jude Bellingham finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—1¢
$7300/0
Will Michael Olise finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$6310/0Will Michael Olise finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$6310/0
Will Vinícius Júnior finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
1¢—$6050/0Will Vinícius Júnior finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—1¢
$6050/0
Will Declan Rice finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$6300/0Will Declan Rice finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$6300/0
Will Vitinha finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$1.3K0/0Will Vitinha finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$1.3K0/0
Will Achraf Hakimi finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$1050/0Will Achraf Hakimi finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$1050/0
Will Bruno Fernandes finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$500/0Will Bruno Fernandes finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$500/0
Will Luis Diaz finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$500/0Will Luis Diaz finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$500/0
Will Lautaro Martinez finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$500/0Will Lautaro Martinez finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$500/0
Will Marc Cucurella finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$500/0Will Marc Cucurella finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$500/0
Will Gabriel Magalhães finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$500/0Will Gabriel Magalhães finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$500/0
Will Sadio Mané finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$500/0Will Sadio Mané finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$500/0
Will Marquinhos finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$500/0Will Marquinhos finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$500/0
Will Nuno Mendes finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
1¢—$970/0Will Nuno Mendes finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—1¢
$970/0
Will João Neves finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$1340/0Will João Neves finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$1340/0
Will Willian Pacho finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$1270/0Will Willian Pacho finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$1270/0
Will Julián Quiñones finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$600/0Will Julián Quiñones finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$600/0
Will William Saliba finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
2¢—$970/0Will William Saliba finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—2¢
$970/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs14 NO
22%78%
78% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 81%· net of hedges
+21 new YES$793+42 new NO$3.2K
$186 of this was bought on both sides by the same 11 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales16 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.7K is directional: YES $41·NO $1.7KYES Team
Total Invested
$41
Avg Win Rate
66.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$28(+69.0%)
Whales
4
A
aliiz🥇
Entry 17¢·234.5 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $39 · WR 65.1%
L
luciebot🥈
Entry 2¢·56.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $1 · WR 83.3%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 2¢·21.9 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $0 · WR 87.7%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 1¢·52.2 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $0 · WR 85.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.1K
Avg Win Rate
73.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$1(-0.0%)
Whales
14
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 80¢·2,030 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $1.6K · WR 72.1%
M
melchior1248🥈
Entry 83¢·1,277.5 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $1.1K · WR 69.4%
N
northdrawer🥉
Entry 78¢·130 shares
Invested
$101
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $101 · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 82¢·122.3 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $100 · WR 85.9%
I
Icy-Hedge-Shout
Entry 77¢·126 shares
Invested
$97
Win Rate
95.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $97 · WR 95.1%
B
0xb0e74df9...
Entry 86¢·26.7 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $23 · WR 81.8%
P
pollo07
Entry 87¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
80.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $17 · WR 80.7%
K
klli27
Entry 87¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $17 · WR 86.0%
K
kaxel78
Entry 81¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $16 · WR 85.4%
A
akroll
Entry 81¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $16 · WR 86.6%
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