YES Price
12¢
12% implied
NO Price
88¢
88% implied
Volume
$1.4K
91 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 46 traders · 1 on both sides
Ballon d'Or 2026: 2nd Place
30 MARKETS · $19.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or←
12¢—$1.4K0/0Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or←—12¢
$1.4K0/0
Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
21¢—$2.4K0/0Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—21¢
$2.4K0/0
Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
57¢—$5.0K0/0Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—57¢
$5.0K0/0
Will Rodri finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
7¢—$1.0K0/0Will Rodri finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—7¢
$1.0K0/0
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
3¢—$1.0K0/0Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—3¢
$1.0K0/0
Will Lionel Messi finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
5¢—$1.1K0/0Will Lionel Messi finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—5¢
$1.1K0/0
Will Fabian Ruiz finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
1¢—$4780/0Will Fabian Ruiz finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—1¢
$4780/0
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$6590/0Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$6590/0
Will Pau Cubarsi finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$7470/0Will Pau Cubarsi finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$7470/0
Will Erling Haaland finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
1¢—$6060/0Will Erling Haaland finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—1¢
$6060/0
Will Jude Bellingham finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
1¢—$7300/0Will Jude Bellingham finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—1¢
$7300/0
Will Michael Olise finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$6310/0Will Michael Olise finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$6310/0
Will Vinícius Júnior finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
1¢—$6050/0Will Vinícius Júnior finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—1¢
$6050/0
Will Declan Rice finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$6300/0Will Declan Rice finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$6300/0
Will Vitinha finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$1.3K0/0Will Vitinha finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$1.3K0/0
Will Achraf Hakimi finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$1050/0Will Achraf Hakimi finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$1050/0
Will Bruno Fernandes finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$500/0Will Bruno Fernandes finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$500/0
Will Luis Diaz finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$500/0Will Luis Diaz finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$500/0
Will Lautaro Martinez finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$500/0Will Lautaro Martinez finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$500/0
Will Marc Cucurella finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$500/0Will Marc Cucurella finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$500/0
Will Gabriel Magalhães finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$500/0Will Gabriel Magalhães finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$500/0
Will Sadio Mané finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$500/0Will Sadio Mané finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$500/0
Will Marquinhos finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$500/0Will Marquinhos finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$500/0
Will Nuno Mendes finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
1¢—$970/0Will Nuno Mendes finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—1¢
$970/0
Will João Neves finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$1340/0Will João Neves finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$1340/0
Will Willian Pacho finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$1270/0Will Willian Pacho finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$1270/0
Will Julián Quiñones finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢—$600/0Will Julián Quiñones finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—0¢
$600/0
Will William Saliba finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
2¢—$970/0Will William Saliba finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or—2¢
$970/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs15 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 49% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 82%· net of hedges
+22 new YES$296+33 new NO$1.3K
$52 of this was bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales15 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $181 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $88·NO $93YES Team
Total Invested
$115
Avg Win Rate
63.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$35(+30.5%)
Whales
6
A
aliiz🥇
Entry 12¢·576.9 shares
Invested
$71
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $71 · WR 65.1%
B
BAO95889🥈
Entry 17¢·160 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $27 · WR 58.1%
P
probability◆Proven🥉
Entry 15¢·90 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $14 · WR 59.8%
L
luciebot
Entry 2¢·97.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $2 · WR 83.3%
D
donthackme
Entry 2¢·54 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $1 · WR 87.7%
B
Bigggggggghedged
Entry 1¢·57.2 shares·also $5 on NO
Invested
$0
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $0 · WR 85.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$490
Avg Win Rate
84.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$9(-1.8%)
Whales
15
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 87¢·122.3 shares
Invested
$106
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $106 · WR 85.9%
N
northdrawer🥈
Entry 91¢·90 shares
Invested
$82
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $82 · WR 87.7%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 89¢·70 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $62 · WR 72.1%
M
merod
Entry 92¢·64 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $59 · WR 84.1%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 91¢·50 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $45 · WR 88.7%
B
0xb0e74df9...
Entry 92¢·26.7 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $25 · WR 81.8%
P
pollo07
Entry 90¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
80.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $18 · WR 80.7%
K
klli27
Entry 90¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $18 · WR 86.0%
K
kaxel78
Entry 90¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $18 · WR 85.4%
A
akroll
Entry 86¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $17 · WR 86.6%
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