6 days left

Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

48¢

48% implied

NO Price

52¢

52% implied

Volume

$1.1K

40 trades

Smart Whales

7

of 21 traders

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 12 - October 18?

7 MARKETS · $3.9K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide

4¢+96¢$1.8K1/0

Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide+96¢4¢

Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide←

48¢−48¢$1.1K0/3

Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide←−48¢48¢

Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide

38¢−38¢$1080/2

Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide−38¢38¢

Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide

Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide—20¢

Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide

8¢−8¢$1180/2

Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide−8¢8¢

Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide

1¢−1¢$3680/1

Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide−1¢1¢

Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide

3¢−3¢$2480/1

Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide−3¢3¢

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Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs4 NO

43%57%

57% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 12% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 2 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 67%· net of hedges

+12 new YES$440+12 new NO$889

$32 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum

3 smart whales2 smart whales

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $647 is directional: YES $77·NO $570

YES Team

Total Invested

$77

Avg Win Rate

72.5%

Aggregate P&L

+$28(+36.3%)

Whales

3

Irritating-Hierarchy🥇

Entry 50¢·80 shares

$-18INV $40 · WR 82.7%

CaptainCoinflip🥈

Entry 12¢·298.3 shares

+$46INV $36 · WR 61.6%

dipanshu-971🥉

Entry 70¢·1.4 shares

$-1INV $1 · WR 57.1%

NO Team

Total Invested

$625

Avg Win Rate

68.0%

Aggregate P&L

+$135(+21.6%)

Whales

4

KiruaTrading🥇

Entry 52¢·816.4 shares

+$171INV $420 · WR 61.5%

Warped-Follower🥈

Entry 89¢·169 shares

$-27INV $150 · WR 80.0%

Entry 64¢·68 shares

$-8INV $44 · WR 84.1%

Entry 59¢·20 shares

$-1INV $12 · WR 88.7%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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