YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$1.8K
57 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 33 traders
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 12 - October 18?
7 MARKETS · $3.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide←
4¢+96¢$1.8K1/0Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide←+96¢4¢
$1.8K1/0
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
48¢−48¢$1.1K0/3Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide−48¢48¢
$1.1K0/3
Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
38¢−38¢$1080/2Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide−38¢38¢
$1080/2
Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
20¢—$1090/0Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide—20¢
$1090/0
Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
8¢−8¢$1180/2Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide−8¢8¢
$1180/2
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs5 NO
38%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%· net of hedges
+18 new YES$217+16 new NO$1.5K
$42 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $163 is directional: YES $2·NO $160YES Team
Total Invested
$22
Avg Win Rate
81.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$14(-66.2%)
Whales
3
I
Irritating-Hierarchy🥇hedged
Entry 54¢·30 shares·also $25 on NO
Invested
$16
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $16 · WR 82.7%
C
cef0b057C63B71b6F29b48299433🥈
Entry 54¢·5.4 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 86.8%
C
CaptainCoinflip🥉
Entry 2¢·143.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
61.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $2 · WR 61.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$218
Avg Win Rate
71.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$127(+58.6%)
Whales
5
T
tinman2🥇
Entry 58¢·216.8 shares
Invested
$127
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$81
+$81INV $127 · WR 65.9%
M
merod🥈
Entry 47¢·68 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $32 · WR 84.1%
I
Irritating-Hierarchy🥉hedged
Entry 169¢·14.9 shares·also $16 on YES
Invested
$25
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $25 · WR 82.7%
K
KiruaTrading
Entry 47¢·50 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $24 · WR 61.5%
A
Aergia◆Proven
Entry 99¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
90.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 90.5%
Smart Whale Trades
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