4 days left
Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by less than 10%?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$549
70 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 29 traders
Federal District Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
6 MARKETS · $7.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
0 YESvs7 NO
100%
100% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
unknown
Aggregate P&L
—
Whales
0
No smart whales on YES
NO Team
Total Invested
$149
Avg Win Rate
81.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$106(+71.4%)
Whales
7
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 65¢·104.6 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $68 · WR 79.6%
G
Gorgeous-Shirtdress-Vibraphone🥈
Entry 50¢·37.4 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
77.9%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $19 · WR 77.9%
H
haveagoodday🥉
Entry 50¢·30 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $15 · WR 86.6%
L
Loose-Alloy
Entry 50¢·27.6 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $14 · WR 76.0%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 66¢·20 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $13 · WR 89.3%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 86.1%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 88.1%
Smart Whale Trades
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