4 days left
Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by at least 25%?
YES Price
16¢
16% implied
NO Price
84¢
84% implied
Volume
$815
84 trades
Smart Whales
6
of 37 traders
Federal District Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
6 MARKETS · $7.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
0 YESvs6 NO
100%
100% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
unknown
Aggregate P&L
—
Whales
0
No smart whales on YES
NO Team
Total Invested
$129
Avg Win Rate
82.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$42(+33.0%)
Whales
6
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 71¢·72.2 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $51 · WR 79.6%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 50¢·50 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $25 · WR 88.7%
G
Gorgeous-Shirtdress-Vibraphone🥉
Entry 75¢·27.6 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
77.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $21 · WR 77.9%
N
northdrawer
Entry 76¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $15 · WR 87.7%
L
Loose-Alloy
Entry 50¢·19.8 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $10 · WR 76.0%
R
Revolving-Stimulus-Pride
Entry 50¢·14.1 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
86.3%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $7 · WR 86.3%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1070ms