4 days left
Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by 20%-25%?
YES Price
33¢
33% implied
NO Price
67¢
67% implied
Volume
$3.2K
190 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 77 traders
Federal District Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
6 MARKETS · $7.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs7 NO
13%88%
88% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 69%· net of hedges
+9 new YES$71+8 new NO$99
$96 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1 is directional: YES $0·NO $1YES Team
Total Invested
$362
Avg Win Rate
62.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$199(-55.0%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$155
Avg Win Rate
82.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$10(+6.3%)
Whales
7
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 64¢·92.8 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $60 · WR 79.6%
D
Deserted-Surroundings🥈
Entry 58¢·70.7 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $41 · WR 79.2%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 76¢·30 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $23 · WR 86.1%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 70¢·20 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $14 · WR 88.1%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 59¢·20 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $12 · WR 89.3%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 51¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $5 · WR 86.6%
A
0xa06eb958...
Entry 69¢·1.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 56.2%
Smart Whale Trades
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