Geopolitics11 days left
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?
YES Price
27¢
27% implied
NO Price
73¢
73% implied
Volume
$3.1K
147 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 69 traders · 1 on both sides
Confirmed pneumonic plague case in Russia by...?
2 MARKETS · $4.9K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs9 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 4% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 79%· net of hedges
+24 new YES$247+29 new NO$869
$41 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$127 of $1.5K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $51·NO $1.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$130
Avg Win Rate
62.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$30(+22.8%)
Whales
6
V
vinii🥇hedged
Entry 12¢·550 shares·also $495 on NO
Invested
$63
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $63 · WR 65.8%
I
Isengard1🥈
Entry 17¢·150 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
—
—INV $26 · WR 60.6%
G
goatboss🥉
Entry 11¢·210.2 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $23 · WR 59.1%
H
hithitfarhedged
Entry 148¢·11 shares·also $10 on NO
Invested
$16
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $16 · WR 59.4%
S
szy10010
Entry 14¢·10 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 55.0%
C
csokgab
Entry 22¢·4.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 67.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.4K
Avg Win Rate
70.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$36(-2.6%)
Whales
9
T
Te0n2🥇
Entry 89¢·590 shares
Invested
$527
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $527 · WR 66.8%
V
vinii🥈hedged
Entry 84¢·589.8 shares·also $63 on YES
Invested
$495
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $495 · WR 65.8%
O
osmych🥉
Entry 90¢·131.1 shares
Invested
$117
Win Rate
93.0%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $117 · WR 93.0%
S
SuperFake
Entry 79¢·140 shares
Invested
$111
Win Rate
81.5%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $111 · WR 81.5%
M
Mrpike
Entry 92¢·108.8 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $100 · WR 69.2%
V
Viserys
Entry 37¢·55.7 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
73.0%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $21 · WR 73.0%
H
hithitfarhedged
Entry 88¢·11 shares·also $16 on YES
Invested
$10
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $10 · WR 59.4%
M
mayygowda
Entry 89¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $9 · WR 83.3%
C
CosmicCedar◆Proven
Entry 58¢·10 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
90.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $6 · WR 90.0%
Smart Whale Trades
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