Geopolitics27 days left
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$2.1K
95 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 52 traders
Confirmed pneumonic plague case in Russia by...?
2 MARKETS · $5.2K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs4 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 69%· net of hedges
+21 new YES$471+17 new NO$985
$94 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $476 is directional: YES $7·NO $469YES Team
Total Invested
$25
Avg Win Rate
67.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$5(+20.7%)
Whales
4
H
hitunfar🥇
Entry 45¢·39.7 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
61.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $18 · WR 61.6%
C
CosmicCedar◆Proven🥈
Entry 51¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
90.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 90.0%
G
goatboss🥉
Entry 15¢·10.4 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $2 · WR 59.1%
H
hithitfar
Entry 38¢·0.9 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 59.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$485
Avg Win Rate
73.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$146(-30.1%)
Whales
4
Q
Quantum777🥇
Entry 82¢·287.2 shares
Invested
$235
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
$-80
$-80INV $235 · WR 80.8%
T
Te0n2🥈
Entry 77¢·300 shares
Invested
$231
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-69
$-69INV $231 · WR 66.8%
V
Viserys🥉
Entry 41¢·40 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
73.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $16 · WR 73.0%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 72¢·3.6 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 69.2%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1022ms