19 days left

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.35% in October?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

52¢

52% implied

NO Price

48¢

48% implied

Volume

$2.8K

204 trades

Smart Whales

5

of 56 traders

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?

8 MARKETS · $22.5K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.32% in October

62¢−12¢$2.4K2/2

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.32% in October−12¢62¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.35% in October←

52¢+8¢$2.8K3/2

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.35% in October←+8¢52¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.38% in October

37¢+7¢$3.2K4/5

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.38% in October+7¢37¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.41% in October

30¢+3¢$2.9K2/4

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.41% in October+3¢30¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% in October

27¢+53¢$1.9K4/1

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% in October+53¢27¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in October

15¢+27¢$3.3K5/7

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in October+27¢15¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% in October

12¢+38¢$1.6K2/2

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% in October+38¢12¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.60% in October

12¢−12¢$4.3K0/5

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.60% in October−12¢12¢

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Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs2 NO

60%40%

60% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 65% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 67%· net of hedges

+4 new YES$138+8 new NO$258

$37 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum

0 smart whales1 smart whale

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $45 is directional: YES $29·NO $16

YES Team

Total Invested

$37

Avg Win Rate

63.3%

Aggregate P&L

-$2(-5.0%)

Whales

3

oneofthepplProven🥇

Entry 73¢·40 shares

$-3INV $29 · WR 63.0%

cloverpmq2🥈hedged

Entry 31¢·12 shares·also $17 on NO

+$3INV $4 · WR 60.1%

garbagecollect4🥉

Entry 75¢·4.8 shares

$-1INV $4 · WR 68.9%

NO Team

Total Invested

$33

Avg Win Rate

58.9%

Aggregate P&L

+$1(+2.5%)

Whales

2

cloverpmq2🥇hedged

Entry 84¢·20 shares·also $4 on YES

$-7INV $17 · WR 60.1%

ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥈

Entry 33¢·48 shares

+$8INV $16 · WR 57.7%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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