19 days left

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% in October?

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YES Price

31¢

31% implied

NO Price

69¢

69% implied

Volume

$2.0K

182 trades

Smart Whales

6

of 58 traders

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?

8 MARKETS · $22.9K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.32% in October

59¢−9¢$2.5K2/2

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.32% in October−9¢59¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.35% in October

50¢+10¢$2.9K3/2

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.35% in October+10¢50¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.38% in October

41¢+3¢$3.3K4/5

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.38% in October+3¢41¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.41% in October

31¢+2¢$2.9K2/4

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.41% in October+2¢31¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% in October←

31¢+49¢$2.0K4/1

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% in October←+49¢31¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in October

18¢+24¢$3.3K5/7

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in October+24¢18¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% in October

13¢+37¢$1.6K2/2

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% in October+37¢13¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.60% in October

12¢−12¢$4.3K0/5

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.60% in October−12¢12¢

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Smart Money Consensus

4 YESvs2 NO

67%33%

67% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 75%· net of hedges

+15 new YES$110+10 new NO$281

$47 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum

2 smart whales1 smart whale

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $12 is directional: YES $12·NO $0

YES Team

Total Invested

$45

Avg Win Rate

62.3%

Aggregate P&L

-$17(-38.5%)

Whales

4

Entry 56¢·40 shares

$-10INV $22 · WR 61.1%

hithitfar🥈hedged

Entry 54¢·19 shares·also $13 on NO

$-4INV $10 · WR 59.7%

Entry 50¢·19 shares

$-2INV $10 · WR 67.7%

oneofthepplProven

Entry 45¢·5 shares

$-0INV $2 · WR 63.0%

NO Team

Total Invested

$31

Avg Win Rate

65.0%

Aggregate P&L

+$10(+31.5%)

Whales

2

garbagecollect4🥇

Entry 89¢·20 shares

$-4INV $18 · WR 68.9%

hithitfar🥈hedged

Entry 34¢·39.2 shares·also $10 on YES

+$14INV $13 · WR 59.7%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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