77 days left
Will the median home value in the US be between $407,000 and $411,000 on December 31?
YES Price
43¢
43% implied
NO Price
57¢
57% implied
Volume
$11.7K
432 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 127 traders
What will the median home value in the US be on December 31?
7 MARKETS · $31.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs10 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 88% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%· net of hedges
+9 new YES$68+18 new NO$1.1K
$124 of this was bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $502 is directional: YES $444·NO $58YES Team
Total Invested
$500
Avg Win Rate
65.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$112(+22.4%)
Whales
5
M
molodoyy◆Proven🥇
Entry 32¢·1,400.5 shares
Invested
$442
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
+$160
+$160INV $442 · WR 63.3%
2
2dd3🥈hedged
Entry 796¢·6.6 shares·also $111 on NO
Invested
$53
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $53 · WR 84.6%
G
garbagecollect4🥉
Entry 32¢·11 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 68.8%
N
Nonstop-Tailspin
Entry 47¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
77.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 77.8%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 0¢·0.8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 57.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$338
Avg Win Rate
81.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$36(+10.8%)
Whales
10
2
2dd3🥇hedged
Entry 61¢·183.6 shares·also $53 on YES
Invested
$111
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $111 · WR 84.6%
A
0xa24d776f...🥈
Entry 39¢·231.8 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
92.0%
Position P&L
+$42
+$42INV $90 · WR 92.0%
J
jcharger◆Proven🥉
Entry 55¢·105 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $58 · WR 58.1%
G
glm4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·66.6 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $33 · WR 85.9%
D
Deserted-Surroundings
Entry 80¢·32 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $26 · WR 79.3%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 87.6%
M
mapleggg
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 85.9%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 53¢·8 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
84.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 84.3%
E
e46m3
Entry 54¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 79.4%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·4 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 89.2%
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