77 days left
Will the median home value in the US be less than $403,000 on December 31?
YES Price
7¢
7% implied
NO Price
93¢
93% implied
Volume
$2.6K
182 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 61 traders
What will the median home value in the US be on December 31?
7 MARKETS · $31.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs11 NO
21%79%
79% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $32 is directional: YES $0·NO $32YES Team
Total Invested
$188
Avg Win Rate
61.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$171(-91.1%)
Whales
3
Q
QR1🥇hedged
Entry 81¢·224.3 shares·also $46 on NO
Invested
$182
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
$-168
$-168INV $182 · WR 61.8%
C
cloverpmq2🥈hedged
Entry 16¢·20 shares·also $18 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 60.4%
G
garbagecollect4🥉hedged
Entry 14¢·13.6 shares·also $10 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 68.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$210
Avg Win Rate
71.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$235(+112.1%)
Whales
11
G
glm4.1.fund🥇
Entry 86¢·53.3 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $46 · WR 85.9%
Q
QR1🥈hedged
Entry 19¢·244.3 shares·also $182 on YES
Invested
$46
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
+$183
+$183INV $46 · WR 61.8%
D
DerDon◆Proven🥉
Entry 81¢·40 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $32 · WR 56.5%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·50 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $25 · WR 79.4%
C
cloverpmq2hedged
Entry 88¢·20 shares·also $3 on YES
Invested
$18
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $18 · WR 60.4%
G
Gorgeous-Shirtdress-Vibraphone
Entry 50¢·32 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
78.6%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $16 · WR 78.6%
G
garbagecollect4hedged
Entry 87¢·11 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$10
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $10 · WR 68.8%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 95¢·8 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
84.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $8 · WR 84.3%
M
mapleggg
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $5 · WR 85.9%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 80¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 88.0%
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