Geopolitics20 days left
Will there be 30 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$851
85 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 34 traders
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of October?
7 MARKETS · $16.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be 30 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31←
3¢+6¢$8511/10Will there be 30 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31←+6¢3¢
$8511/10
Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31
83¢−69¢$6.1K2/12Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31−69¢83¢
$6.1K2/12
Will there be between 10 and 15 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31
5¢−5¢$8640/12Will there be between 10 and 15 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31−5¢5¢
$8640/12
Will there be between 15 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31
3¢−3¢$9210/10Will there be between 15 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31−3¢3¢
$9210/10
Will there be between 20 and 25 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31
3¢+12¢$1.4K2/11Will there be between 20 and 25 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31+12¢3¢
$1.4K2/11
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs10 NO
9%91%
91% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 89%
+2 new YES$5+1 new NO$40
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $0 is directional: YES $0·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
82.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$0(-86.7%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$318
Avg Win Rate
86.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$286(+89.7%)
Whales
10
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 50¢·320 shares
Invested
$160
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$150
+$150INV $160 · WR 85.9%
G
graynotebook19🥈
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $40 · WR 89.3%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 54¢·72.4 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $39 · WR 87.7%
N
northdrawer
Entry 59¢·50 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $29 · WR 87.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $20 · WR 79.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 86.0%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 88.2%
M
mapleggg
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 86.1%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 79.2%
G
god83743894
Entry 1¢·2 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $0 · WR 85.7%
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