Geopolitics20 days left

Will there be between 20 and 25 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

3¢

3% implied

NO Price

97¢

97% implied

Volume

$1.4K

113 trades

Smart Whales

14

of 51 traders

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of October?

7 MARKETS · $16.9K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will there be 30 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31

3¢+6¢$8511/10

Will there be 30 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31+6¢3¢

Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31

83¢−69¢$6.1K2/12

Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31−69¢83¢

Will there be between 10 and 15 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31

5¢−5¢$8640/12

Will there be between 10 and 15 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31−5¢5¢

Will there be between 15 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31

3¢−3¢$9210/10

Will there be between 15 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31−3¢3¢

Will there be between 20 and 25 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31←

3¢+12¢$1.4K2/11

Will there be between 20 and 25 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31←+12¢3¢

Will there be between 25 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31

2¢−2¢$8950/12

Will there be between 25 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31−2¢2¢

Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31

12¢−4¢$5.9K1/11

Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31−4¢12¢

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Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs11 NO

21%79%

79% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%

+2 new YES$1+1 new NO$40

1 smart whale0 smart whales

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $2 is directional: YES $2·NO $0

YES Team

Total Invested

$2

Avg Win Rate

74.1%

Aggregate P&L

+$1(+35.3%)

Whales

3

Entry 14¢·9.7 shares

$-1INV $1 · WR 82.9%

Entry 1¢·60 shares

+$1INV $1 · WR 65.2%

Entry 1¢·60 shares

+$1INV $0 · WR 57.9%

NO Team

Total Invested

$427

Avg Win Rate

84.9%

Aggregate P&L

+$392(+91.8%)

Whales

11

qwen4.1.fund🥇

Entry 50¢·320 shares

+$152INV $160 · WR 85.9%

Entry 52¢·136.1 shares

+$62INV $70 · WR 79.6%

godblessme2026🥉

Entry 50¢·100 shares

+$47INV $50 · WR 88.2%

Entry 50¢·90 shares

+$43INV $45 · WR 86.0%

Entry 50¢·78.8 shares

+$37INV $39 · WR 87.7%

Entry 66¢·30 shares

+$9INV $20 · WR 87.7%

Entry 50¢·35.6 shares

+$17INV $18 · WR 79.2%

Entry 50¢·20 shares

+$9INV $10 · WR 88.7%

Entry 50¢·18 shares

+$9INV $9 · WR 70.9%

Entry 50¢·10 shares

+$5INV $5 · WR 86.1%

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