Geopolitics20 days left
Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?
YES Price
12¢
12% implied
NO Price
88¢
88% implied
Volume
$5.9K
238 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 63 traders
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of October?
7 MARKETS · $16.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be 30 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31
3¢+6¢$8511/10Will there be 30 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31+6¢3¢
$8511/10
Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31
83¢−69¢$6.1K2/12Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31−69¢83¢
$6.1K2/12
Will there be between 10 and 15 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31
5¢−5¢$8640/12Will there be between 10 and 15 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31−5¢5¢
$8640/12
Will there be between 15 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31
3¢−3¢$9210/10Will there be between 15 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31−3¢3¢
$9210/10
Will there be between 20 and 25 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31
3¢+12¢$1.4K2/11Will there be between 20 and 25 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31+12¢3¢
$1.4K2/11
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs11 NO
8%92%
92% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 7% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 67%
+2 new YES$230+2 new NO$114
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $52 is directional: YES $4·NO $48YES Team
Total Invested
$4
Avg Win Rate
61.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$2(-41.9%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$492
Avg Win Rate
82.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$191(+38.8%)
Whales
11
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 57¢·310 shares
Invested
$175
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$99
+$99INV $175 · WR 85.9%
S
smallreceipt🥈
Entry 59¢·100 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $59 · WR 89.0%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 73¢·78.8 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $57 · WR 87.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 77¢·65.5 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $50 · WR 79.6%
M
ms1910
Entry 69¢·70.2 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $48 · WR 57.9%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 77¢·40 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $31 · WR 79.2%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 53¢·50 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $27 · WR 88.7%
L
luciebot
Entry 79¢·19.5 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
82.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $15 · WR 82.9%
D
Deserted-Surroundings
Entry 77¢·18 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
74.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $14 · WR 74.8%
G
god83743894
Entry 82¢·12 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $10 · WR 85.7%
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