Geopolitics15 days left
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?
YES Price
36¢
36% implied
NO Price
64¢
64% implied
Volume
$3.4K
212 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 77 traders · 1 on both sides
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
4 MARKETS · $226.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs11 NO
39%61%
61% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 41% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 11 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 52%· net of hedges
+37 new YES$1.1K+35 new NO$1.2K
$332 of this was bought on both sides by the same 12 buyers — left out of momentum
7 smart whales10 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$16 of $751 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $303·NO $432YES Team
Total Invested
$312
Avg Win Rate
78.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$13(-4.0%)
Whales
7
G
Gluckyklucky🥇
Entry 38¢·660.6 shares
Invested
$250
Win Rate
81.5%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $250 · WR 81.5%
M
Mithrandir.🥈
Entry 35¢·100 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
70.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $35 · WR 70.9%
S
Swaniawski🥉hedged
Entry 37¢·21 shares·also $14 on NO
Invested
$8
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $8 · WR 56.3%
G
ghorrock
Entry 44¢·17.3 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $8 · WR 60.1%
W
whig
Entry 34¢·20 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $7 · WR 63.2%
L
lottonakamoto
Entry 38¢·10 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
69.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 69.9%
D
Dondigidin
Entry 35¢·3.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 63.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$440
Avg Win Rate
59.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$15(+3.5%)
Whales
11
S
StarMaster🥇
Entry 61¢·400 shares
Invested
$245
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $245 · WR 55.0%
P
PABLOESCOBAR25🥈
Entry 63¢·94.2 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $59 · WR 60.8%
K
kanhaoleaha🥉
Entry 66¢·66.8 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
73.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $44 · WR 73.0%
B
Blueynbingo
Entry 58¢·68.8 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $40 · WR 69.8%
K
Klanto
Entry 64¢·25.3 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $16 · WR 61.2%
S
Swaniawskihedged
Entry 65¢·21 shares·also $8 on YES
Invested
$14
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $14 · WR 56.3%
P
Poltergeist94
Entry 63¢·12.3 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 · WR 61.3%
P
prov123
Entry 63¢·9.5 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $6 · WR 61.0%
P
PashaAsOracul
Entry 61¢·8.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 62.5%
B
big-bird1
Entry 63¢·3.5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
68.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 68.5%
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