Circular-Trouble · Polymarket wallet 0x3115…e680

Wallet snapshot

Circular-Trouble has made 46 trades on Polymarket across 11 markets, $2,891 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (91%) and politics (9%). On 10 resolved markets the win rate is 60%, lifetime P&L +$125. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 1, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?No · $254 · 74¢ → 94¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes · +$49 · Sep 21, 2026
• Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?No · +$19 · Sep 1, 2026
• Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?No · +$32 · Jul 2, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No · $0 · May 9, 2026
• Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?No · +$15 · May 1, 2026
• Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?No · -$10 · Apr 3, 2026
• Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes · -$11 · Apr 3, 2026
• Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No · -$17 · Apr 3, 2026
• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No · +$34 · Apr 3, 2026
• Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?No · +$65 · Apr 3, 2026

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