Tech/AI69 days left
Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below $40 in 2026?
YES Price
33¢
33% implied
NO Price
67¢
67% implied
Volume
$1.7K
149 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 48 traders
What will OpenAI's frontier output token price hit in 2026?
6 MARKETS · $15.3K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs1 NO
89%11%
89% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $28 is directional: YES $28·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$88
Avg Win Rate
63.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$24(-27.3%)
Whales
8
H
hitunfar🥇
Entry 41¢·101.1 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $41 · WR 59.8%
S
Seeking-Alpha01🥈
Entry 49¢·45 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $22 · WR 67.4%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 40¢·27 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $11 · WR 72.0%
S
Scoopdewhoophedged
Entry 51¢·11 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$6
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $6 · WR 56.3%
J
just-bettor
Entry 39¢·8 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 57.0%
C
cloverpmq2
Entry 42¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 60.4%
H
hithitfar
Entry 32¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 59.8%
A
Arid-Pagoda
Entry 44¢·2.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 72.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$4
Avg Win Rate
56.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$3(+69.0%)
Whales
1
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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